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1.
International Review on Modelling and Simulations ; 15(6):381-387, 2022.
Article in English | Scopus | ID: covidwho-20244655

ABSTRACT

During the COVID-19 pandemic, children under the age of 12 are the most vulnerable age group to health concerns. The goal of this study was to conduct a spatiotemporal analysis of the distribution of COVID-19 cases in Central Java children using the GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) approach. The data source is the Central Java Provincial Health Office, and the study objects are 35 cities and districts in Central Java province. The data obtained are the number of COVID-19 cases in children aged 0-11 years, the total number of Covid-19 cases, the number of PCR tests per day, the number of vaccinations and the number of health care facilities per city and district per month from March 2020 to November 2021. Hotspot analysis and the GWR approach were used to examine data in semesters 1–4 (S1–S4). From S1 to S4, the number of COVID-19 cases in children increased. Areas that became hotspots for more than two semesters were Semarang City, Semarang Regency, Banyumas, Cilacap, Kendal, and Demak. According to the GWR analysis in S1-S4, the total number of COVID-19 cases, PCR tests per day, vaccinations, and health care facilities all affect the number of COVID-19 patients in children by more than 75%. The total number of COVID-19 cases has a significant impact on the number of COVID-19 cases in children but the number of health care facilities has no effect. The results of the GWR prediction of COVID-19 cases in children show that the cities of Semarang and Banyumas became areas with a larger number of COVID-19 cases in two semesters. According to the hotspot and GWR analysis, the cities of Semarang and Banyumas are regions to be on the lookout for in the spread of COVID-19 cases in S1-S4. © 2022 Praise Worthy Prize S.r.l.-All rights reserved.

2.
Revista De Biologia Tropical ; 71, 2023.
Article in English | Web of Science | ID: covidwho-20233382

ABSTRACT

Introduction: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has spread among the population of Costa Rica and has had a great global impact. However, there are important geographic differences in mortality from COVID-19 among world regions and within Costa Rica.Objective: To explore the effect of some sociodemographic factors on COVID-19 mortality in the small geo-graphic divisions or cantons of Costa Rica.Methods: We used official records and applied a classical epidemiological Poisson regression model and a geographically weighted regression model.Results: We obtained a lower Akaike Information Criterion with the weighted regression (927.1 in Poisson regression versus 358.4 in weighted regression). The cantons with higher risk of mortality from COVID-19 had a denser population;higher material well-being;less population by health service units and are located near the Pacific coast.Conclusions: A specific COVID-19 intervention strategy should concentrate on Pacific coast areas with denser population, higher material well-being and less population by health service units.

3.
GeoJournal ; 88(3): 3439-3453, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20243832

ABSTRACT

The present paper investigates the location pattern of co-working spaces in Delhi which is absent in the existing body of knowledge. Delhi is a political, administrative, educational, scientific and innovation capital that accommodates many co-working spaces in India. We developed Ordinary least squares (OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models to understand the associations of co-working spaces of digital labourers with other urban socio-economic, services and lifestyle variables in Delhi using secondary data for 117 coworking locations in 280 municipal wards of NCT-Delhi. Model diagnostic suggested that the GWR model provides additional information regarding geographical distribution of coworking spaces, and density of bars, median house rent, fitness centres, metro train stations, restaurants, cinemas, cafés, and creative enterprises are statistically significant parameters to estimate them. The importance of coworking spaces has increased in the post-disaster period, so this study informs public policies to benefit people and companies who choose coworking routes, and recommends urban planners, developers, and real-estate professionals to consider the proximity of creative industries in planning and developing coworking spaces in the future. Also, in the post COVID-19 period, to increase local jobs and long-term place sustainability, a localised policy intervention for coworking spaces in Delhi is highly recommended.

4.
Lett Spat Resour Sci ; 16(1): 23, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2321857

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 revealed some major weaknesses and threats that are related to the level of territorial development. In Romania, the manifestation and the impact of the pandemic were not homogenous, which was influenced, to a large extent, by a diversity of sociodemographic, economic, and environmental/geographic factors. The paper is an exploratory analysis focused on selecting and integrating multiple indicators that could explain the spatial differentiation of COVID-19-related excess mortality (EXCMORT) in 2020 and 2021. These indicators include, among others, health infrastructure, population density and mobility, health services, education, the ageing population and distance to the closest urban center. We analyzed the data from local (LAU2) and county level (NUTS3) by applying multiple linear regression and geographically weighted regression models. The results show that mobility and lower social distancing were far more critical factors for higher mortality than the intrinsic vulnerability of the population, at least in the first two years of COVID-19. However, the highly differentiated patterns and specificities of different areas of Romania resulting from the modelling of EXCMORT factors drive to the conclusion that the decision-making approaches should be place-specific in order to have more efficiency in case of pandemics.

5.
GeoJournal ; 87(4): 3291-3305, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2317589

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 has been distinguished as a zoonotic coronavirus, like SARS coronavirus and MERS coronavirus. Tehran metropolis, as the capital of Iran, has a high density of residents that experienced a high incidence and mortality rates which daily increase the number of death and cases. In this study, the IDW (Inverse Distance Weight), Hotspots, and GWR (Geography Weighted Regression) Model are used as methods for analyzing big data COVID-19 in Tehran. The results showed that the majority of patients and deaths were men, but the death rate was higher in women than in men; also was observed a direct relationship between the area of the houses, and the infected rate, to COVID-19. Also, the results showed a disproportionate distribution of patients in Tehran, although in the eastern regions the number of infected people is higher than in other districts; the eastern areas have a high population density as well as residential land use, and there is a high relationship between population density in residential districts and administrative-commercial and the number of COVID-19 cases in all regions. The outputs of local R2 were interesting among patients and underlying disorders; the local R2 between hypertension and neurological diseases was 0.91 and 0.79, respectively, which was higher than other disorders. The highest rates of local R2 for diabetes and heart disease were 0.67 and 0.55, respectively. From this study, it can be concluded the restrictions must be considered especially, in areas densely populated for all people.

6.
Sustainability ; 15(5):4064, 2023.
Article in English | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-2258956

ABSTRACT

With the rapid growth of automobile numbers and the increased traffic congestion, traffic has increasingly significant effects on regional air quality and regional sustainable development in China. This study tried to quantify the effect of transportation operation on regional air quality based on MODIS AOD. This paper analyzed the space-time characteristics of air quality and traffic during the epidemic by series analysis and kernel density analysis, and quantified the relationship between air quality and traffic through a Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model. The main research conclusions are as follows: The epidemic has a great impact on traffic and regional air quality. PM2.5 and NO2 had the same trend with traffic congestion delay index (CDI), but they were not as obvious as CDI. Both cities with traffic congestion and cities with the worst air quality showed strong spatial dependence. The concentration areas of high AOD value in the east areas of the Hu line were consistent with the two gathering centers formed by cities with traffic congestion in space, and also consistent with the gathering center of cities with poor air quality. The concentration area of AOD decline was consistent with the gathering center formed by cities with the worst air quality. AOD had a strong positive correlation with road network density, and its GWR correlation coefficient was 0.68, then These provinces suitable for GWR or not suitable were divided. This study has a great significance for the transportation planning, regional planning, air quality control strategies and regional sustainable development, etc.

7.
J Transp Health ; 30: 101581, 2023 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2282080

ABSTRACT

Background: Many countries instituted lockdown rules as the COVID-19 pandemic progressed, however, the effects of COVID-19 on transportation safety vary widely across countries and regions. In several situations, it has been shown that although the COVID-19 closure has decreased average traffic flow, it has also led to an increase in speeding, which will indeed increase the severity of crashes and the number of fatalities and serious injuries. Methods: At the local level, Generalized linear Mixed (GLM) modelling is used to look at how often road crashes changed in the Adelaide metropolitan area before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The Geographically Weighted Generalized Linear Model (GWGLM) is also used to explore how the association between the number of crashes and the factors that explain them varies across census blocks. Using both no-spatial and spatial models, the effects of urban structure elements like land use mix, road network design, distance to CBD, and proximity to public transit on the frequency of crashes at the local level were studied. Results: This research showed that lockdown orders led to a mild reduction (approximately 7%) in crash frequency. However, this decrease, which has occurred mostly during the first three months of the lockdown, has not systematically alleviated traffic safety risks in the Greater Adelaide Metropolitan Area. Crash hotspots shifted from areas adjacent to workplaces and education centres to green spaces and city fringes, while crash incidence periods switched from weekdays to weekends and winter to summer. Implications: The outcomes of this research provided insights into the impact of shifting driving behaviour on safety during disorderly catastrophes such as COVID-19.

8.
Atmos Pollut Res ; 14(3): 101688, 2023 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2246287

ABSTRACT

During specific periods when the PM2.5 variation pattern is unusual, such as during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, epidemic PM2.5 regional interpolation models have been relatively little investigated, and little consideration has been given to the residuals of optimized models and changes in model interpolation accuracy for the PM2.5 concentration under the influence of epidemic phenomena. Therefore, this paper mainly introduces four interpolation methods (kriging, empirical Bayesian kriging, tensor spline function and complete regular spline function), constructs geographically weighted regression (GWR) models of the PM2.5 concentration in Chinese regions for the periods from January-June 2019 and January-June 2020 by considering multiple factors, and optimizes the GWR regression residuals using these four interpolation methods, thus achieving the purpose of enhancing the model accuracy. The PM2.5 concentrations in many regions of China showed a downward trend during the same period before and after the COVID-19 outbreak. Atmospheric pollutants, meteorological factors, elevation, zenith wet delay (ZWD), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and population maintained a certain relationship with the PM2.5 concentration in terms of linear spatial relationships, which could explain why the PM2.5 concentration changed to a certain extent. By evaluating the model accuracy from two perspectives, i.e., the overall interpolation effect and the validation set interpolation effect, the results showed that all four interpolation methods could improve the numerical accuracy of GWR to different degrees, among which the tensor spline function and the fully regular spline function achieved the most stable effect on the correction of GWR residuals, followed by kriging and empirical Bayesian kriging.

9.
Environ Health Prev Med ; 28: 8, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2214680

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health screening is a preventive and cost-effective public health strategy for early detection of diseases. However, the COVID-19 pandemic has decreased health screening participation. The aim of this study was to examine regional differences in health screening participation between before and during COVID-19 pandemic and vulnerabilities of health screening participation in the regional context. METHODS: Administrative data from 229 districts consisting of 16 provinces in South Korea and health screening participation rate of each district collected in 2019 and 2020 were included in the study. Data were then analyzed via descriptive statistics and geographically weighted regression (GWR). RESULTS: This study revealed that health screening participation rates decreased in all districts during COVID-19. Regional vulnerabilities contributing to a further reduction in health screening participation rate included COVID-19 concerns, the population of those aged 65+ years and the disabled, lower education level, lower access to healthcare, and the prevalence of chronic disease. GWR analysis showed that different vulnerable factors had different degrees of influence on differences in health screening participation rate. CONCLUSIONS: These findings could enhance our understanding of decreased health screening participation due to COVID-19 and suggest that regional vulnerabilities should be considered stringent public health strategies after COVID-19.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Disabled Persons , Humans , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Educational Status
10.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 19(19)2022 Sep 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2043706

ABSTRACT

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, an increasing number of different research studies focusing on various aspects of the pandemic are emerging. Most of the studies focus on the medical aspects of the pandemic, as well as on the impact of COVID-19 on various areas of life; less emphasis is put on analyzing the influence of socio-environmental factors on the spread of the pandemic. In this paper, using the geographically weighted regression method, the extent to which demographic, social, and environmental factors explain the number of cases of SARS-CoV-2 is explored. The research was performed for the case-study area of Poland, considering the administrative division of the country into counties. The results showed that the demographic factors best explained the number of cases of SARS-CoV-2; the social factors explained it to a medium degree; and the environmental factors explained it to the lowest degree. Urban population and the associated higher amount and intensity of human contact are the most influential factors in the development of the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis of the factors related to the areas burdened by social problems resulting primarily from the economic exclusion revealed that poverty-burdened areas are highly vulnerable to the development of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using maps of the local R2 it was possible to visualize how the relationships between the explanatory variables (for this research-demographic, social, and environmental factors) and the dependent variable (number of cases of SARS-CoV-2) vary across the study area. Through the GWR method, counties were identified as particularly vulnerable to the pandemic because of the problem of economic exclusion. Considering that the COVID-19 pandemic is still ongoing, the results obtained may be useful for local authorities in developing strategies to counter the pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Demography , Humans , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Spatial Regression
11.
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information ; 11(8):450, 2022.
Article in English | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-2023729

ABSTRACT

Confronted with the spatial heterogeneity of the real estate market, some traditional research has utilized geographically weighted regression (GWR) to estimate house prices. However, its predictive power still has some room to improve, and its kernel function is limited in some simple forms. Therefore, we propose a novel house price valuation model, which is combined with geographically neural network weighted regression (GNNWR) to improve the accuracy of real estate appraisal with the help of neural networks. Based on the Shenzhen house price dataset, this work conspicuously captures the variable spatial regression relationships at different regions of different variables, which GWR has difficulty realizing. Moreover, we focus on the performance of GNNWR, verify its robustness and superiority, and refine the experiment process with 10-fold cross-validation. In contrast with the ordinary least squares (OLS) model, our model achieves an improvement of about 50% on most of the metrics. Compared with the best GWR model, our thorough experiments reveal that our model improves the mean absolute error (MAE) by 13.5% and attains a decrease of the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 13.0% in the evaluation on the validation dataset. It is a practical and powerful way to assess house prices, and we believe our model could be applied to other valuation problems concerning geographical data to promote the prediction accuracy of socioeconomic phenomena.

12.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 19(15)2022 07 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1969240

ABSTRACT

At present, COVID-19 is still spreading, and its transmission patterns and the main factors that affect transmission behavior still need to be thoroughly explored. To this end, this study collected the cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China by 8 April 2020. Firstly, the spatial characteristics of the COVID-19 transmission were investigated by the spatial autocorrelation method. Then, the factors affecting the COVID-19 incidence rates were analyzed by the generalized linear mixed effect model (GLMMs) and geographically weighted regression model (GWR). Finally, the geological detector (GeoDetector) was introduced to explore the influence of interactive effects between factors on the COVID-19 incidence rates. The results showed that: (1) COVID-19 had obvious spatial aggregation. (2) The control measures had the largest impact on the COVID-19 incidence rates, which can explain the difference of 34.2% in the COVID-19 incidence rates, while meteorological factors and pollutant factors can only explain the difference of 1% in the COVID-19 incidence rates. It explains that some of the literature overestimates the impact of meteorological factors on the spread of the epidemic. (3) The influence of meteorological factors was stronger than that of air pollution factors, and the interactive effects between factors were stronger than their individual effects. The interaction between relative humidity and NO2 was stronger. The results of this study will provide a reference for further prevention and control of COVID-19.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , COVID-19 , Air Pollutants/analysis , Air Pollution/analysis , COVID-19/epidemiology , China/epidemiology , Humans , Meteorological Concepts , Particulate Matter/analysis , Spatial Regression
13.
Expert Syst Appl ; 205: 117703, 2022 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1889400

ABSTRACT

Many studies propose methods for finding the best location for new stores and facilities, but few studies address the store closing problem. As a result of the recent COVID-19 pandemic, many companies have been facing financial issues. In this situation, one of the most common solutions to prevent loss is to downsize by closing one or more chain stores. Such decisions are usually made based on single-store performance; therefore, the under-performing stores are subject to closures. This study first proposes a multiplicative variation of the well-known Huff gravity model and introduces a new attractiveness factor to the model. Then a forward-backward approach is used to train the model and predict customer response and revenue loss after the hypothetical closure of a particular store from a chain. In this research the department stores in New York City are studied using large-scale spatial, mobility, and spending datasets. The case study results suggest that the stores recommended being closed under the proposed model may not always match the single store performance, and emphasizes the fact that the performance of a chain is a result of interaction among the stores rather than a simple sum of their performance considered as isolated and independent units. The proposed approach provides managers and decision-makers with new insights into store closing decisions and will likely reduce revenue loss due to store closures.

14.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 19(10)2022 05 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1855604

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The goal of this study is to identify geographic areas for priority actions in order to control COVID-19 among the elderly living in Residential Care Homes (RCH). We also describe the evolution of COVID-19 in RHC throughout the 278 municipalities of continental Portugal between March and December 2020. METHODS: A spatial population analysis of positive COVID-19 cases reported by the Portuguese National Health Service (NHS) among the elderly living in RCH. The data are for COVID-19 testing, symptomatic status, comorbidities, and income level by municipalities. COVID-19 measures at the municipality level are the proportion of positive cases of elderly living in RCH, positive cases per elderly living in RCH, symptomatic to asymptomatic ratio, and the share of comorbidities cases. Spatial analysis used the Kernel density estimation (KDE), space-time statistic Scan, and geographic weighted regression (GWR) to detect and analyze clusters of infected elderly. RESULTS: Between 3 March and 31 December 2020, the high-risk primary cluster was located in the regions of Braganca, Guarda, Vila Real, and Viseu, in the Northwest of Portugal (relative risk = 3.67), between 30 September and 13 December 2020. The priority geographic areas for attention and intervention for elderly living in care homes are the regions in the Northeast of Portugal, and around the large cities, Lisbon and Porto, which had high risk clusters. The relative risk of infection was spatially not stationary and generally positively affected by both comorbidities and low-income. CONCLUSION: The regions with a population with high comorbidities and low income are a priority for action in order to control COVID-19 in the elderly living in RCH. The results suggest improving both income and health levels in the southwest of Portugal, in the environs of large cities, such as Lisbon and Porto, and in the northwest of Portugal to mitigate the spread of COVID-19.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19 Testing , Health Facilities , Humans , Portugal/epidemiology , State Medicine
15.
4th International Conference on E-Business, Information Management and Computer Science, EBIMCS 2021 ; : 134-138, 2021.
Article in English | Scopus | ID: covidwho-1789030

ABSTRACT

Population mobility affected the spread and risk diffusion of COVID-19. Based on Baidu migration big data and COVID-19 cases data released by the national health commission of people's republic of China combined with mathematical statistics analysis and geographic information technology, OLS test and geographically weighted regression were used to analyze the correlation between the spread of COVID-19 and Baidu migration network from January 10 to March 14, 2020.The results showed that the diffusion process of COVID-19 epidemic in China was characterized by stages, including outbreak, potential diffusion, rapid diffusion, diffusion inhibition and diffusion reduction. In the study period, there is a certain spatial correlation between the COVID-19 epidemic data and the difference coefficient of inflow and outflow and the external connection degree of provinces. Through the OLS test of population migration index, it was found that the correlation between the difference coefficient of inflow and outflow and the spread of epidemic was more significant, and there was no collinear effect. The correlation analysis showed that there was a correlation between the epidemic data and the difference coefficient of inflow and outflow in spatial location, and most of them were negative correlation in the early stage, and gradually became positive correlation in the later stage. The negative correlation between Hubei and Hubei was significant, and the positive correlation between Xinjiang, Tibet and Qinghai was significant. It revealed that provinces with large population mobility and high number of confirmed cases were mainly distributed in Hubei Province and the central cities of China's key urban agglomerations, and the epidemic prevention pressure was mainly due to the risk of transmission and diffusion caused by large population mobility and high number of confirmed cases. © 2021 ACM.

16.
Sustainability ; 13(24):14047, 2021.
Article in English | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-1595345

ABSTRACT

A large proportion of the cultivated land in China has been used for non-grain production purposes. As food insecurity is worsening worldwide, this issue has attracted attention from the Chinese government. In order to curb this trend and to ensure food security, this paper explores the quantitative characteristics and spatial distribution of cultivated land used for non-grain purposes in Liyang City, Jiangsu Province, and discusses the clustering characteristics and mechanisms behind this based on spatial autocorrelation analysis and geographically weighted regression (GWR). The results show that most of the cultivated land in Liyang City has not been used for non-grain purposes, and the cultivated land reserve is abundant. Among all land types, irrigable land has the largest non-grain production rate of cultivated land. There is no significant spatial correlation of cultivated land for non-grain purposes in most towns in Liyang, among which Kunlun Street is in the High-High (HH) zone and Daibu Town in the Low-High (LH) zone. It is also found that the same factor has various impacts on the non-grain production of cultivated land in different towns, and the number of enterprises is the core factor that leads to the non-grain use of cultivated land in Liyang city. Low food prices lead some farmers to plant other crops with higher economic benefits, and also lead to the outflow of the rural labor force. This will not only accelerate the non-grain production of cultivated land, but also cause a large amount of cultivated land to be in a state of unmanned cultivation, further aggravating the proportion of non-grain production in cultivated land.

17.
Sustain Cities Soc ; 76: 103485, 2022 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1492614

ABSTRACT

The lack of detailed COVID-19 cases at a fine spatial resolution restricts the investigation of spatial disparities of its attack rate. Here, we collected nearly one thousand self-reported cases from a social media platform during the early stage of COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China. We used kernel density estimation (KDE) to explore spatial disparities of epidemic intensity and adopted geographically weighted regression (GWR) model to quantify influences of population dynamics, transportation, and social interactions on COVID-19 epidemic. Results show that self-reported COVID-19 cases concentrated in commercial centers and populous residential areas. Blocks with higher population density, higher aging rate, more metro stations, more main roads, and more commercial point-of-interests (POIs) have a higher density of COVID-19 cases. These five explanatory variables explain 76% variance of self-reported cases using an OLS model. Commercial POIs have the strongest influence, which increase COVID-19 cases by 28% with one standard deviation increase. The GWR model performs better than OLS model with the adjusted R 2 of 0.96. Spatial heterogeneities of coefficients in the GWR model show that influencing factors play different roles in diverse communities. We further discussed potential implications for the healthy city and urban planning for the sustainable development of cities.

18.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 18(18)2021 Sep 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1403608

ABSTRACT

Vaccine hesitancy refers to delay in acceptance or refusal of vaccines despite the availability of vaccine services. Despite the efforts of United States healthcare providers to vaccinate the bulk of its population, vaccine hesitancy is still a severe challenge that has led to the resurgence of COVID-19 cases to over 100,000 people during early August 2021. To our knowledge, there are limited nationwide studies that examined the spatial distribution of vaccination rates, mainly based on the social vulnerability index (SVI). In this study, we compiled a database of the percentage of fully vaccinated people at the county scale across the continental United States as of 29 July 2021, along with SVI data as potential significant covariates. We further employed multiscale geographically weighted regression to model spatial nonstationarity of vaccination rates. Our findings indicated that the model could explain over 79% of the variance of vaccination rate based on Per capita income and Minority (%) (with positive impacts), and Age 17 and younger (%), Mobile homes (%), and Uninsured people (%) (with negative effects). However, the impact of each covariate varied for different counties due to using separate optimal bandwidths. This timely study can serve as a geospatial reference to support public health decision-makers in forming region-specific policies in monitoring vaccination programs from a geographic perspective.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , Adolescent , COVID-19 Vaccines , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , United States , Vaccination
19.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 18(1)2021 01 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1389357

ABSTRACT

Infectious diseases have caused some of the most feared plagues and greatly harmed human health. However, despite the qualitative understanding that the occurrence and diffusion of infectious disease is related to the environment, the quantitative relations are unknown for many diseases. Zika virus (ZIKV) is a mosquito-borne virus that poses a fatal threat and has spread explosively throughout the world, impacting human health. From a geographical perspective, this study aims to understand the global hotspots of ZIKV as well as the spatially heterogeneous relationship between ZIKV and environmental factors using exploratory special data analysis (ESDA) model. A geographically weighted regression (GWR) model was used to analyze the influence of the dominant environmental factors on the spread of ZIKV at the continental scale. The results indicated that ZIKV transmission had obvious regional and seasonal heterogeneity. Population density, GDP per capita, and landscape fragmentation were the dominant environmental factors affecting the spread of ZIKV, which indicates that social factors had a greater influence than natural factors on the spread of it. As SARS-CoV-2 is spreading globally, this study can provide methodological reference for fighting against the pandemic.


Subject(s)
Zika Virus Infection , Animals , Humans , Mosquito Vectors , Spatio-Temporal Analysis , Zika Virus , Zika Virus Infection/epidemiology , Zika Virus Infection/transmission
20.
Geohealth ; 5(8): e2021GH000439, 2021 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1387166

ABSTRACT

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, was first identified in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. As the number of COVID-19 infections and deaths worldwide continues to increase rapidly, the prevention and control of COVID-19 remains urgent. This article aims to analyze COVID-19 from a geographical perspective, and this information can provide useful insights for rapid visualization of spatial-temporal epidemic information and identification of the factors important to the spread of COVID-19. A new type of vitalization method, called the point grid map, is integrated with calendar-based visualization to show the spatial-temporal variations in COVID-19. The combination of mixed geographically weighted regression (mixed GWR) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) is used to identify the potential factors and the corresponding importance. The visualization results clearly reflect the spatial-temporal patterns of COVID-19. The quantified results reveal that the impact of population outflow from Wuhan is the most important factor and indicate statistically significant spatial heterogeneity. Our results provide insights into how multisource big geodata can be employed within the framework of integrating visualization and analytical methods to characterize COVID-19 trends. In addition, this work can help understand the influential factors for controlling and preventing epidemics, which is important for policy design and effective decision-making for controlling COVID-19. The results reveal that one of the most effective ways to control COVID-19 include controlling the source of infection, cutting off the transmission route, and protecting vulnerable groups.

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